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Cart Ahead of Horse in Wisconsin Recall Poll

Did you see this headline in the Washington Post last week?

Scott Walker Leads in Wisconsin Recall Poll

I bet I wasn't the only one who felt slightly sick upon reading that. The article mentions in passing that "the Democratic race has yet to really heat up." Ya think? The signatures are still being counted! There isn't an actual race yet, but this poll pits the one known candidate, our illustrious guv, against who? Hypothetical candidates. An actual candidate against four hypotheticals:
  1. Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, a "likely" candidate
  2. Former Dane County Executive Kathleen Falk, the only declared Democratic candidate
  3. Former Rep. David Obey, who has said that he doesn't "really want to run"
  4. State Sen. Tim Cullen, who in the infamous telephone conversation with Pseudo-Koch (Ian Murphy) was described by Walker as "the only reasonable one" among the Democrats in the state legislature. Not much of a recommendation if you ask me.
Only one of the four have declared that they intend to run. If they have started putting together an organization and fund-raising, they've only just barely begun. Whereas Scooter, because of a "quirk in the state election law" that allows donors to contribute unlimited funds to a recall target, has been able to raise $4.5 million dollars in just five weeks. And, owing to the same "quirk," Scooter has to spend that money in a big ol' hurry. "In the same five weeks, the governor spent $4.9 million, a large chunk of it on TV and radio ads and direct mail solicitations. The unlimited funds must be spent before the recall is official."

So it's not just one actual candidate against four hypotheticals. It's one stinkin' rich actual candidate against four hypotheticals. To his credit, Charles Franklin, the director of the poll, did admit that "the old line 'you don't beat somebody with nobody' is true." But hey, why not go ahead and poll anyway? Just for jollies. Nobody's going to really take this thing seriously, are they?


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